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The Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology's content profile, based on 10 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Effects of Starting and Stopping Combined Oral Contraceptives on Markers of Ovarian Reserve

Bernig, U.; Kördel, M.; Sundström-Poromaa, I.; Kroemer, N. B.; Henes, M.

2026-06-01 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354411 medRxiv
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Objective To examine the effects of combined oral contraceptive (OC) use on clinical markers of ovarian reserve by comparing Anti-Muellerian Hormone (AMH), antral follicle count (AFC), and ovarian volume (OV) before and after starting or stopping OC. Methods This analysis is based on data from a prospective cohort study conducted at the University Hospital Tubingen, Germany, as part of the IRTG-2804 project. A total of 54 healthy women were included and categorized into three groups based on their OC use status: OC starters (n = 12), stoppers (n = 16), and long-term OC-users (n = 26). Each participant underwent a transvaginal ultrasound (including AFC and OV) and serum sampling (including AMH) at two time points (S1 and S2), three to six months apart. OC starters were assessed first during the early follicular phase (day 1-7) and then during active OC intake (day 8-21), while stoppers were assessed in the reverse order. Long-term users were assessed twice during active OC intake. Results OC stoppers showed significant within-group increases in all ovarian reserve markers, including AMH ({Delta} = 2.57 ng/mL, p < .001), AFC ({Delta} = 3.88, p = .004), and OV, which almost doubled (1.94-fold increase; 95% CI [1.35, 2.80], p < .001). In contrast, OC starters exhibited a significant decline in AMH ({Delta} = -1.25 ng/mL, p = .013), but no changes in AFC or OV. No significant longitudinal changes were observed among long-term OC users. Conclusion AMH levels decrease after starting OC use whereas AFC and OV are not affected. In contrast, AMH, AFC, and OV recover within three to six months after stopping OC, suggesting a reversible suppression of ovarian reserve markers during OC use. These findings are clinically relevant for fertility counseling and for the interpretation of ovarian reserve markers in women using hormonal contraception.

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Age Related Differences in BMD Response During Three Years of Denosumab Treatment

Ishikawa, K.; Asada, T.; Richardson, W.; Marius, C.; Ishikawa, M.; Nguyen, T.; Varnadore, P.; Tani, S.; Passias, P.; Alman, B. A.

2026-05-26 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354051 medRxiv
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Introduction Denosumab increases bone mineral density and reduces fracture risk in patients with osteoporosis. However, whether BMD response to denosumab differs by age, particularly during longer term treatment, remains unclear. This study investigated the association between baseline age and BMD gain during 3 years of denosumab treatment in patients with osteoporosis. Methods This retrospective study included patients with osteoporosis who were treated with denosumab. DXA-based BMD and bone turnover markers were followed for up to 3 years. Percent BMD gain from baseline, defined as %BMD gain, was evaluated. The longitudinal association between baseline age and %BMD gain was assessed using multivariable linear mixed-effects models for the lumbar spine and total hip. Analyses were performed in the treatment naive cohort and the overall cohort according to prior osteoporosis treatment status. Results A total of 255 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 110 had not received prior osteoporosis treatment. In multivariable linear mixed-effects models, older baseline age was associated with smaller lumbar spine %BMD gain in the treatment naive cohort at both 1 and 3 years. Each 1-year increase in age was associated with a 0.187 percentage-point lower lumbar spine %BMD gain at 1 year and a 0.293 percentage-point lower gain at 3 years (1 year: {beta} = -0.187, p = 0.006, 3 years: {beta} = -0.293, p = 0.031). In contrast, baseline age was not significantly associated with total hip %BMD gain in the treatment naive cohort (1 year: {beta} = -0.011, p = 0.826; 3 years: {beta} = 0.028, p = 0.727). In the overall cohort, baseline age was not significantly associated with %BMD gain at either the lumbar spine or total hip at 1 or 3 years (all p > 0.05). Conclusion Older baseline age was associated with a modestly smaller lumbar spine BMD gain in treatment naive patients, whereas no significant age-related association was observed at the total hip. In the overall cohort, age was not significantly associated with BMD gain at either site. These findings suggest that age may have a limited, site specific influence on BMD response to denosumab, particularly in treatment naive patients, and may support more individualized treatment planning in patients with osteoporosis.

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OCT1 Variants Are Associated with Metformin Clearance and Gluconeogenesis: Mechanistic Insights for Youth-Onset Type 2 Diabetes in the MIGHTY Study

Cantor, S.; Zeng, Y.; Davis, F.; Glaros, S.; Macheret, N.; Malandrino, N.; Mabundo, L.; Arisa, O.; Adeyemo, A.; Cai, H.; courville, a.; Shouppe, E.; Walter, M.; Walter, P.; Rotimi, C.; Figg, W.; Bentley, A.; Chung, S.

2026-05-28 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354152 medRxiv
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Aims/Hypothesis: Behavioral and phenotypic characteristics do not fully explain variability in African Americans with youth-onset type 2 diabetes (Y-T2D) treated with metformin with or without liraglutide. We hypothesized that biological heterogeneity, including genetic variation in the metformin transporter OCT1, influences metformin pharmacokinetics and hepatic glucose flux. Therefore, we sought to characterize metformin pharmacokinetics in Y-T2D and evaluate genetic variants known to modulate metformin efficacy in adults to determine the mechanisms underlying variation in treatment response. Methods: We evaluated genetic variants related to metformin transport and mechanisms of action in 30 Y-T2D using a candidate-gene approach to evaluate the association of pharmacogenetic variants with fasting glucose and gluconeogenesis. In a subset of Y-T2D randomized to 3 months of metformin (n=11) or metformin and liraglutide (n=8), we constructed a metformin population pharmacokinetic model and evaluated gene variant associations. Results: A one-compartment first-order absorption and elimination pharmacokinetic model provided the optimal fit. Metformin pharmacokinetic parameters were similar by group and not related to glycemia. The rs628031_OCT1 A allele was associated with greater metformin clearance. The rs622342_OCT1 C allele was associated with lower post-treatment fractional gluconeogenesis ({beta} [95% CI] = -8.8 [-14.13, -3.47] %, Adjusted R2 = 0.56, P = 0.003). The rs7903146_TCF7L2 T allele was associated with greater reductions in fasting glucose among those treated with metformin + liraglutide ({beta} = -1.32 [-2.42, -0.22] mmol/L, Adjusted R2 = 0.8, P<0.002), but baseline glucose and gluconeogenesis (P<0.0001) were the strongest predictors of post-treatment glycemia. Conclusion/interpretation: In Y-T2D, OCT1 gene variants rs628031 and rs622342 were associated with metformin clearance and gluconeogenesis, respectively. TCF7L2 variant rs7903146 may contribute to differences in glycemic response in youth treated with metformin and liraglutide. These findings suggest genetic variants may be important for understanding variable metformin response in Y-T2D.

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Resting energy expenditure and thermic effect of a high-fat meal in the early follicular and mid-luteal phases of the menstrual cycle: a crossover trial protocol

Goulet, N.; Lyndon, S.; Beauregard, N.; McInnis, K.; Mauger, J.-F.; Doucet, E.; Imbeault, P.

2026-05-30 nutrition 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354032 medRxiv
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Introduction: Menstrual cycle phase has been proposed as a source of intra-individual variability in resting energy expenditure and the thermic effect of food in premenopausal females, yet studies examining the thermic effect of food across menstrual cycle phases report conflicting findings. Methods: This protocol describes a secondary analysis of prespecified outcomes from a non-randomized, two-period crossover trial primarily designed to assess postprandial plasma triglyceride concentrations across menstrual cycle phases (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT07459465) in 12 premenopausal females aged 18-30 years, free of chronic disease and hormonal contraceptive use, recruited in Ottawa, Canada. Participants complete two experimental sessions: one in the early follicular phase and one in the mid-luteal phase, each involving consumption of a high-fat meal. Eleven secondary outcomes will be reported: fasting resting energy expenditure, thermic effect of food, respiratory exchange ratio, carbohydrate oxidation rate, lipid oxidation rate, desire to eat, hunger, fullness, prospective food consumption, serum beta-estradiol, and serum progesterone. Masked outcome analyses are performed using linear mixed-effects models. Results: Recruitment began on 26 March 2026; results will be reported in the Stage 2 manuscript. Discussion: Findings from this trial may help clarify whether menstrual cycle phase constitutes a meaningful source of intra-individual variability in energy metabolism, with implications for the design of metabolic research in premenopausal females.

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Ejaculatory Function and Clinical Outcomes Following Robotic Aquablation for Prostatic Bladder Outflow Obstruction: A Retrospective Real-World Cohort Study Protocol

Shroff, D. E.; Newman, T.; Malde, S.; Martyn-Hemphill, C.

2026-05-30 urology 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354125 medRxiv
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Introduction Aquablation for surgical treatment of benign prostatic enlargement (BPE) causing bladder outflow obstruction (BOO) has demonstrated good functional outcomes, even for large glands, with high rates of ejaculatory preservation reported. This is a protocol for a study that aims to review real-world outcomes of ejaculatory preservation or restoration post-Aquablation in an unselected cohort and compare to published clinical trial outcomes. Methods Retrospective data will be collected from a prospectively maintained consecutive case series of patients who underwent Aquablation, in a single UK centre. The primary outcome is ejaculatory function subjectively reported by men post-operatively, and classified as: antegrade ejaculation, retrograde/low volume ejaculation, anejaculation or not sexually active. Secondary outcomes are International Prostate Symptom Severity (IPSS), Quality of Life (QoL) Score, post-void residual (PVR), and incontinence. Descriptive and comparative statistical tests will be performed. Conclusions This study will review real-world ejaculatory function and clinical outcomes following robotic Aquablation for prostatic bladder outflow obstruction and compare this to published clinical trial outcomes.

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Defining a person-centered conceptual model to inform measurement of contraception's effects on the menstrual cycle

Mackenzie, A.; Smit, J.; Miric, M.; Edelman, A.; Beksinska, M.; Catano, A.; Chung, S.; Cuevas, E.; Delacerda, M.; Forbes, M.; Hoppes, E.; Ingeno, L.; Jacobson, L.; Khomo, M.; Lebetkin, E.; Majola, T.; Matos, M.; Mavundla, M.; McCaffrey, S.; Mendez, A.; Mendez, M.; Mhlaba, N.; Mosery, N.; Ndlovu, L.; Qiya, B.; Stankevitz, K.; Sullivan, A.; Zulu, B.

2026-05-30 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353514 medRxiv
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Objective: To address the need for improved measurement of the ways contraception impacts the baseline menstrual cycle (i.e., contraceptive-induced menstrual changes; CIMCs) by assembling an interdisciplinary, global research collective to rigorously develop a person-centered measure for CIMCs in multiple languages. As the first step, this paper reports on our conceptual model development, which is the foundation for ongoing measure development. Study design: We conducted 18 focus groups with 106 people experiencing CIMCs while using hormonal or intrauterine contraception in Durban, South Africa, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, and Portland Oregon, United States. We used a virtual affinity mapping approach to analyze qualitative data, which was the basis of our conceptual model along with relevant theory and related models in the literature. Results: The conceptual model of experiences with CIMCs depicts the baseline menstrual cycle, including CIMCs and conceptually-linked effects and the impacts and perceptions of those CIMCs. We found key domains of changes in pain, bleeding volume, bleeding patterns, and characteristics of blood. Conclusion: Our CIMC conceptual model will inform development of a measure with evidence of validation across three language and global contexts. Adoption of a person-centered, standardized CIMC measurement across trials will improve knowledge and decision-making between methods.

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Prevalence and Characteristics of Steatotic Liver Disease in Germany - Magnetic Resonance Imaging in the German National Cohort (NAKO)

von Itter, M.-N.; Grune, E.; Nonnenmacher, T.; Rach, S.; Flis, M.; Haueise, T.; Weiss, J.; Brenner, H.; Keil, T.; Roden, M.; Schulze, M. B.; Schulz-Menger, J. E.; Völzke, H.; Stefan, N.; Schlett, C. L.; Kauczor, H.-U.; Machann, J.; Bamberg, F.; Nattenmüller, J.; Norajitra, T.; Rospleszcz, S.

2026-06-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354407 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Steatotic liver disease (SLD) has high clinical and public health relevance. Robust population estimates of SLD and its subcategories are challenging due to the limitations of ultrasound measurements or non-invasive scores, particularly for low-grade steatosis. We aimed to quantify SLD prevalence using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the population-based German National Cohort (NAKO). Methods: Hepatic multi-echo Dixon MRI was performed at 5 dedicated study sites with identical setup across Germany. Liver fat (proton density fat fraction, PDFF), R2* as proxy for liver iron, and liver volume were assessed. The resulting data of N = 29'842 individuals (age range 20-72 years) were weighted by survey weights for regional representativeness, resulting in a sample of 50% women and a mean age of 45.6 years. SLD was defined as PDFF [&ge;] 5.75%, and sex-specific prevalence according to age, BMI, socioeconomic status and geographic region was calculated. Results: Overall, SLD prevalence was 21.3% in women and 35.7% in men, and the majority were metabolic dysfunction-associated (MASLD, 89.3% of all SLD cases). Prevalence increased with age in a sex-specific pattern, suggesting potential menopausal effects in women. There was a relevant prevalence of SLD in individuals with normal weight (5.3% in women, 13.2% in men) and the age group <25 years (7.5% in women, 11.9% in women). Differences in prevalence between low and high socioeconomic status were more pronounced in women (37% vs 15.8%) compared to men (45.5% vs 30.3%). Conclusions: Data underscore the high public health relevance of SLD and its subcategory MASLD. The considerable prevalence in groups historically considered low-risk, such as younger or lean individuals, emphasizes the need for raising awareness early.

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Widespread Self-Medication and Unsafe Access to Analgesics and NSAIDs in Urban Conakry, Guinea: Prevalence, Associated Factors, Risk Exposure Profiles, and Health-System Implications. A Cross-Sectional Study of 1,032 Participants.

LAWA GARANDJI, D.; BALDE, A. O.

2026-05-30 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353180 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT Background: Self medication with analgesics and non steroidal anti inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) is common in low- and middle income countries and may expose users to preventable adverse outcomes. Evidence from Guinea remains scarce. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of self medication with analgesics and NSAIDs among pharmacy clients in urban Conakry, identify associated factors, and describe clinical risk situations. Methods: We conducted a pharmacy based analytical cross sectional study in 30 private pharmacies across Conakry, Guinea. A total of 1,032 participants seeking analgesics or NSAIDs were enrolled between November 3, 2012, and April 5, 2013. Self-medication was defined as acquisition or use without a valid medical prescription. Factors associated with self-medication were analysed using multivariable logistic regression. Results: Among 1,032 participants, 603 reported self medication (prevalence 58.4%). Previous unsupervised use was reported by 78.7%. The most frequently used medicines were paracetamol (56.9%, n=587), diclofenac (21.3%, n=220), ibuprofen (17.9%, n=185), and aspirin (3.9%, n=40). Overall, 68.0% (n=702) reported no knowledge of potential adverse effects. Clinical risk situations were frequent: gastrointestinal disorders (41.3%, n=426), hypertension (9.2%, n=95), and pregnancy exposure among reproductive age women (26.0%). In multivariable analysis, self medication was independently associated with previous analgesic/NSAID use (aOR = 2.8, 95% CI: 2.1 to 3.6), lack of knowledge of adverse effects (aOR = 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4 to 2.5), informal occupation (aOR = 1.6, 95% CI: 1.2 to 2.2), and age 18 to 59 years (aOR = 1.5, 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.1). Conclusions: In this pharmacy based study conducted in urban Conakry, self medication with analgesics and NSAIDs was common and frequently associated with limited awareness of potential adverse effects. These findings support the need for strengthened pharmaceutical regulation, pharmacist-led counselling, health literacy interventions, and improved access to primary care. Keywords: self medication; analgesics; NSAIDs; paracetamol; diclofenac; ibuprofen; pharmacy; Guinea; Conakry; drug safety; public health.

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Acute effect of high-intensity interval training on fetal blood flow distribution

Skarstad, H. M. S.; Skrede, S.; La Haganes, K.; Ashby, E. R.; Sujan, M. A. J.; Deibele, K. U.; Morch, H.; Haugen, G. N.; Salvesen, K. A.; Moholdt, T.

2026-05-28 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354197 medRxiv
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Objectives To examine the acute effects of a single bout of high-intensity interval training (HIIT) on fetal blood flow distribution during the third trimester of pregnancy. Methods Thirty-four healthy pregnant participants (mean age 31.6 years, standard deviation (SD) 4.1; gestational week 33.8 (SD 0.4) completed eight 30-second high-intensity cycling work-bouts interspersed with 2-minute rest periods. Fetal heart rate (FHR), maternal blood pressure, and Doppler-derived blood flow indices in the middle cerebral artery, umbilical artery and vein, and ductus venosus were assessed before and after exercise. We estimated fetal liver blood flow and the ratio of umbilical vein flow to ductus venosus. Maternal heart rate (HR) and FHR were recorded throughout exercise. Paired t-tests compared pre- and post-exercise values. Results No significant changes were observed in fetal blood flow indices or distribution following exercise. Average maternal HR and FHR during the work-bouts were 158 bpm (SD 16) and 152 bpm (SD 12), respectively. Following HIIT, maternal systolic blood pressure increased by 5 mmHg (95% CI 1 to 8, p=.014), maternal HR by 22 bpm (95% CI 15 to 28, p<.001), and FHR by 13 bpm (95% CI 10 to 17, p<.001). We recorded 16 instances of FHR above normal range during HIIT. Conclusion A single HIIT session in late pregnancy increased maternal blood pressure and HR and transiently elevated FHR but did not affect fetal blood flow indices or distribution. Brief episodes of fetal tachycardia were observed but appeared to be clinically insignificant. Future research should investigate the effects of repeated HIIT exposure during pregnancy.

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Genital Inflammatory Responses in Women Living with HIV Randomized to Copper or Levonorgestrel Intrauterine Contraceptives: A secondary analysis of a randomized trial

Happel, A.-U.; Passmore, J.-A. S.; Sinkala, M.; Jaumdally, S.; Gamieldien, H.; Hu, N.-C.; Langwenya, N.; Jones, H. E.; Hoover, D.; Myer, L.; Todd, C.

2026-05-26 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353969 medRxiv
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Background: Intrauterine contraceptives (IUCs) are effective, but effects on genital inflammation among women living with HIV (WLHIV) by antiretroviral therapy (ART) use are unclear. We evaluated the longitudinal effects of copper IUC (C IUC) and the levonorgestrel intrauterine system (LNG IUS) on cervicovaginal cytokine profiles in a secondary analysis of a randomized trial (NCT01721798, 2013 to 2016). Methods: Cervicovaginal secretions were collected from 100 WLHIV (non ART users; ART users) randomized 1:1 to C IUC or LNG IUS. Twenty eight cytokines were measured prior to insertion and 3 and 6 months post insertion. Cytokine concentrations at each follow up visit were compared with baseline, using participant fixed effects models stratified by ART status. Results: At enrolment, non ART users had higher average concentrations of most cytokines (21/28) than women using ART. Among non-ART users, IUC use was not associated with cytokine increases; only MCP1 increased significantly at 3 months among C IUC users (log10 geometric mean ratio 0.77, 95%CI 0.38 to 1.17), while none increased with LNG IUS use. Among ART users, C IUC insertion resulted in broad and sustained cytokine increases at both 3 (16/28) and 6 months (15/28). At month 3, the largest increases in log10 geometric mean were observed for IL6 (1.04, 0.72 to 1.36), RANTES (0.97, 0.54 to 1.40), MCP1 (0.71, 0.46 to 0.96), MIP1; (0.66, 0.37 to 0.94), and GCSF (0.63, 0.36 to 0.89), which was maintained until month 6. Cytokine changes following LNG IUS insertion were minimal (IL5, month 3). Conclusions: Among ART users, C IUC is associated with increases in cervicovaginal cytokines, across functional classes. This supports LNG IUS as a less inflammatory option for WLHIV to minimize genital immune activation.

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Early Life Determinants of Forward Compression Wave Intensity in Adults

Haynes, A.; Mynard, J. P.; van der Veen, M.; Carson, J.; Green, D. J.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354176 medRxiv
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Intro: Characteristics of the pulse wave transmitted through the carotid arteries are predictive of cognitive decline and cerebrovascular health in humans. This study aimed to identify risk factor trajectories in childhood, adolescence and early adulthood that are associated with forward compression wave intensity (FCWI) in the common carotid artery in adults aged 28 years. Methods: Systolic blood pressure (SBP), body mass index (BMI) and fasting blood glucose (FBG) measured at multiple time-points when participants were aged between 8-20 years were included in a trajectory analysis. At age 28 years, FCWI was measured in 402 (M=206, F=196) participants who underwent a Duplex ultrasound assessment of the common carotid artery. Statistical analysis assessed differences in FCWI between each trajectory group for males and females separately. Results: In males, four trajectory groups were identified for BMI, three for SBP, and two for FBG. In females, three trajectory groups were identified for BMI, SBP, and FG. In males, having higher BMI (P=0.006), SBP (P=0.021) and FBG (P=0.002) from ages 8-20 years was associated with greater FCWI at age 28 years. In females, no associations were found between FCWI at age 28-years and trajectory groups for BMI (P=0.185), SBP (P=0.289) or FBG (P=0.070). Conclusion: Having high BMI, SBP and FBG throughout childhood, adolescence and early adulthood was associated with higher FCWI in the carotid artery at age 28 years in males, but not females. This may have a direct impact on the etiology of cognitive decline and cerebrovascular disease in later life.

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Domain-based basal and ambulatory glycemic exposure metrics derived from continuous glucose monitoring: a real-world clinic-based study

Shinde, S. N.; Shinde, R. S.; Bhangaaley, S. Y.

2026-05-26 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353983 medRxiv
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Background: Consensus continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) metrics, including time in range (TIR), time above range (TAR), time below range (TBR), mean glucose, glucose management indicator, and glycemic variability, are essential for modern glucose assessment. However, these whole-day summaries do not explicitly partition nocturnal basal from daytime ambulatory glycemic burden. Objective: To develop and evaluate a complementary domain-based CGM framework that quantifies basal and daytime ambulatory glycemic exposure across oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT)-derived dysglycemia phenotypes. Methods: In this observational, clinic-based study, 253 individuals underwent OGTT with insulin measurement and CGM. Participants were classified using a prespecified OGTT-derived phenotyping algorithm, implemented through a deterministic rules-based web calculator, and collapsed into five groups: NoDM, Increased insulin resistance, Midzone Glycemia, Prediabetes, and Diabetes. CGM files were uniformly reprocessed by selecting the latest contiguous episode and retaining the most recent 15 calendar days with data. The 24-hour profile was partitioned into nocturnal basal (00:00 to <06:00) and daytime ambulatory (06:00 to <24:00) domains. Derived indices included Area of Basal Glycemia (ABG), Area of Prandial/Daytime Ambulatory Glycemia (APG), incremental ABG (iABG), incremental APG (iAPG), and exploratory deficit indices dABG and dAPG. Results: The final dataset contributed 3,647 analyzable CGM days. APG remained higher than ABG across all groups. Mean ABG/APG increased from 80.45/86.38 mg/dL in NoDM to 111.96/124.70 mg/dL in Diabetes. Mean iABG/iAPG increased from 5.65/6.60 to 34.12/38.91 mg/dL, whereas dABG/dAPG declined as dysglycemia worsened. Conclusions: The ABG/APG framework provides interpretable, domain-resolved CGM burden metrics that separate basal from daytime ambulatory exposure and distinguish total burden from above-threshold excess. These indices are proposed as adjunctive metrics to support dysglycemia phenotyping, early risk recognition, and treatment monitoring, but are not intended to replace established consensus CGM metrics or diagnostic criteria. External, prospective validation is required.

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Patient Versus Prediction-Level Evaluation of a Dynamic Clinical Prediction Model of Sepsis

Tuttle, M.; Maas, C. C. H. M.; An, J.; Wessler, B. S.; Harvey, W. F.; Selker, H. P.; van Klaveren, D.; Kent, D. M.

2026-05-27 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354141 medRxiv
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The Epic Sepsis Model version 2 (ESMv2) is a prediction model embedded into the electronic medical record used to warn clinicians which hospitalized patients are at risk for sepsis. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 31,951 hospitalizations of 25,760 patients to compare analyses conducted at the commonly used patient-level (where a maximum prediction prior to the onset of sepsis is used to measure performance) vs novel prediction-level (where each prediction is used to measure performance). Sepsis, defined by the Sepsis 3 criteria occurred during 1,049 hospitalizations (3.3%). Patient-level analyses suggested excellent discrimination AUC 0.86; [IQR 0.85, 0.87], whereas prediction-level analyses demonstrated lower performance AUC 0.62; [IQR 0.57, 0.65]. Low estimates of the positive predictive value (14.5% at the patient level vs 4% at the prediction level) imply a high number of false alerts. Common evaluation approaches may overstate the performance of dynamic prediction models and mislead clinical decision-making.

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An ECG foundation model for generalizable cardiac function prediction across the lifespan

Yang, Y.; Peracchio, L.; Mayourian, J.; Miller, T.; La Cava, W.

2026-05-27 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354128 medRxiv
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Background Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) enables scalable, low-cost cardiac dysfunction screening, but existing models are annotation-intensive and predominantly adult-derived, leaving paediatric generalizability uncertain. Paediatric cohorts exhibit highly variable cardiac morphology and function compared to adults, which may be useful for learning generalizable AI-ECG models. Methods We pretrained ECG-Fyler on a predominantly paediatric, all-age cohort at Boston Children's Hospital (1992-2023), annotated with a cardiology-specific coding system (Fyler codes), and evaluated it on assessments from echocardiography (echo) and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) studies. We validated on an external adult cohort from Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Performance was benchmarked against several AI-ECG foundation models by AUROC across age groups, lesion types, and limited-data scenarios. Findings The pretraining cohort comprised 782,138 ECGs from 255,271 patients (median age: 10.9 years, IQR: [2.8-16.8]). Internal evaluation included 178,495 ECG-echo pairs (median age: 10.9 [3.7-17.0]) and 8,584 ECG-CMR pairs (median age: 20.7 [15.6-29.6]). External validation included 82,543 ECG-echo pairs from adults (median age: 64.0 [52.0-74.0]). ECG-Fyler improved AUROC across biventricular dysfunction and dilation tasks, with the largest gains in low-data settings. In internal validation, ECG-Fyler detected low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF [&le;] 40%) from only 100 fine-tuning samples (AUROC: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.78-0.80]), outperforming other models (AUROC < 0.65) and improving with additional fine-tuning (AUROC: 0.94 [0.93-0.94]). Similar improvements were observed for CMR-derived LVEF, RVEF, and ventricular dilation. In external validation on adults, ECG-Fyler exhibited an AUROC of 0.83 (CI: [0.82-0.85]) for LVEF [&le;] 40%. After fine-tuning on less than 10% of external data, LVEF [&le;] 45% performance (AUROC: 0.87 [0.86-0.88]) outperformed a fully trained, site-specific prior model (AUROC: 0.85 [0.84-0.87]). Interpretation Pretraining on richly annotated, paediatric-dominant ECGs yields models that transfer efficiently across institutions and ages, supporting AI-ECG screening and triage when labels or imaging access are limited. Funding National Institutes of Health (R01LM012973); Kostin Innovation Fund, Boston Children's Hospital

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Vaginal Antisepsis for Major Gynecologic Surgeries Using Chlorhexidine Gluconate versus Povidone Iodine: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Dias, Y.; Gebrekidan, F.; Lowder, J.; Sutcliffe, S.; Yaeger, L.

2026-05-27 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353429 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) of post-surgical outcomes, comparing chlorhexidine gluconate (CHG) versus povidone iodine (PI) for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic procedures. DATA SOURCES: Ovid Medline, Embase, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane, and Clinicaltrials.gov were searched between 1986 and December 2023, for studies comparing CHG with PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs comparing CHG to PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. The primary outcome was surgical site infections (SSIs) and the secondary outcome was urinary tract infections (UTIs) and vaginal irritation. METHODS: Summary estimates were calculated by fixed effects models when I2 [&le;] 25% and by random effects models when I2 > 25%. Statistical analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4.1. The protocol for this systematic review was registered on PROSPERO (ID CRD42022378101). RESULTS: Nine studies met the inclusion criteria, four of which were randomized controlled trials (RCTs). 9538 patients were included, 4300 (45%) of whom were allocated to CHG and 5238 (55%) to PI. No statistically significant difference in SSI incidence was found for vaginal antisepsis with CHG versus PI in pooled analyses (n= 9538 patients; RR 1.20; 95% CI 0.92-1.57; I2 =0%). In contrast, a significantly higher risk of UTIs was observed for vaginal antisepsis with CHG than with PI (n=6061 patients; RR 1.48 95% CI 1.03-2.14; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSION: In our SRMA, there were no significant differences in SSI risk when either CHG or PI was utilized for antiseptic vaginal preparation. Interestingly, vaginal antisepsis with PI was associated with a lower incidence of post-operative UTIs following major gynecologic surgery. Our findings support current guidelines that form of vaginal antisepsis can be used for SSI prevention. They also suggest that PI may result in fewer postoperative UTIs but further randomized studies are needed to support these findings. Key words: surgical site infection, surgical wound infection, urinary tract infection, urogynecologic surgery, Chlorhexidine, Povidone Iodine, surgical antiseptic,

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Morphological feature remodeling of intracranial arteries in the context of inflammation and HIV-associated cognitive impairment

Hoang, N.; Yang, H.; Uddin, M. N.; Zhong, J.; Faiyaz, A.; Singh, M. V.; Boodoo, Z. D.; Sutton, K. R.; Wang, H. Z.; Sahin, B.; Khan, M. W.; Weber, M. T.; Yuan, C.; Chen, L.; Schifitto, G.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353071 medRxiv
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Background: Despite the success of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), vascular comorbidities, including cerebrovascular disease, are more prominent in people living with HIV (PLWH) compared to people without HIV (PWOH). However, quantitative assessments of cerebrovascular morphometry and their associations with cognitive outcomes in the context of HIV are still limited. In this study, we explore this missing link. Methods: Magnetic Resonance Angiography (MRA) data, blood markers, and neurocognitive assessments were collected from 73 PWOH subjects (male: 57, female: 16; age: 53 {+/-} 16) and 99 PLWH subjects (male: 66, female: 30, age: 53 {+/-} 11). Vessel morphometric features were quantified using intraCranial Artery Feature Extraction (iCafe) to investigate associations between vessel morphometry, markers of monocytes, endothelial cell activation, and cognitive performance. Results: HIV status predicted a lower total number of branches ({beta} = -0.224, p = 0.001, d = -0.517) and shorter total distal length ({beta} = -0.173, p = 0.021, d = -0.370) with a moderate effect size. Total branch number was found to be negatively associated with plasma levels of monocyte markers (sCD14: r = -0.167, p = 0.033; sCD163: r = -0.157, p = 0.045) and positively correlated with white matter cerebral blood flow (r = 0.550; p [&le;] 0.05). HIV status was the strongest predictor of overall cognitive performance in ANCOVA model ({beta} = -0.219, p = 0.006, d = -0.453). Conclusions: Our results suggest that cognitive impairment in PLWH is associated with vessel morphology metrics. Monocyte immune activation may contribute to changes in vessel morphology.

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Optical coherence tomography as a biomarker for frontotemporal dementia: a systematic review & meta-analysis

Wang, E.; Kohli, A.; Taha, H. B.

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353366 medRxiv
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Background: Frontotemporal dementia (FTD) lacks widely accessible disease-specific biomarkers. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) may provide non-invasive measures of retinal changes associated with neurodegeneration. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating retinal biomarkers in FTD compared with Alzheimer disease (AD) and controls. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed and Embase was conducted through April 25, 2026 according to PRISMA guidelines. Studies evaluating OCT/OCTA biomarkers in FTD with comparator groups were included. Inverse weighted random-effects models, publication bias assessments, and meta-regressions were performed. Results: Ten studies involving 139 individuals with FTD, 87 with AD, 29 with mild cognitive impairment, 14 with TDP-43 proteinopathy, 5 with tauopathy, and 255 controls were included in the systematic review; five studies were eligible for meta-analysis. Compared with AD, individuals with FTD demonstrated significantly thinner retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness (SMD = -0.61, 95% CI -0.98, -0.24). Compared with controls, individuals with FTD exhibited significantly thinner ganglion cell layer-inner plexiform layer (GCL-IPL) thickness (SMD = -0.55, 95% CI -1.02, -0.08), whereas pooled analyses across multiple retinal biomarkers were non-significant (SMD = -0.19, 95% CI -0.52, 0.14). RNFL thickness correlated negatively with female % in FTD and positively with age in both AD and controls. Conclusions: Individuals with FTD exhibit lower RNFL thickness than AD and lower GCL-IPL thickness than controls, suggesting retinal alterations may reflect neurodegeneration. However, larger longitudinal studies with standardized OCT/OCTA protocols are needed to determine the diagnostic and prognostic utility of retinal biomarkers in FTD

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Hierarchical organ aging signatures from routine abdominal CT add incremental disease risk stratification beyond blood biomarkers

Deng, Z.; Wang, Y.; Shi, Y.; Wang, L.; Qureshi, T. A.; Gaddam, S.; Javed, S.; Hsu, Y.-C.; De Righi, D. R.; Azab, L.; Diwan, G.; Yang, J. D.; Xie, Y.; Yuan, C.; Vendrami, C. L.; Rodriguez, A.; Specht, K.; Jeon, C. Y.; Chaudhry, H.; Buxbaum, J.; Pisegna, J. R.; Yaghmai, V.; Goessling, W.; Hernandez-Barco, Y. G.; Miller, F. H.; Tirkes, T.; Espinoza, S.; Musi, N.; Dey, D.; Sung, K. H.; Pandol, S. J.; Li, D.

2026-05-27 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353206 medRxiv
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Biological aging is heterogeneous across organ systems, yet whether CT-derived abdominal aging provides prognostic value beyond routine clinical data and whether organ decomposition adds beyond a unified estimate remains untested. We developed and evaluated organ-specific and ensemble biological age models from radiomic features across five abdominal organs in 68,675 CT scans from 32,883 subjects, evaluated on alignment with chronological age of healthy subjects (nested cross validation: MAE=3.68 years, R^2=0.90). In sequential analyses restricted to adults aged 20-60 years which is the stratum of strongest BAG-disease association, ensemble biological age gaps provided incremental prognostic value beyond demographic covariates for all-cause disease and mortality (Delta C-index=0.141, 0.051) and beyond routine blood biomarkers (Delta C-index=0.048), confirming CT-derived aging captures structural information beyond laboratory markers. Organ-specific biological age added incremental prognostic value beyond ensemble selectively for focal diseases: cardiovascular (aorta, Delta C-index=0.091) and hepato-pancreatic (pancreas, Delta C-index=0.096). These findings establish a hierarchical organization of CT-derived biological aging, positioning routine CT as a source that adds prognostic value to existing clinical biomarkers.

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Can Large Language Models Diagnose Primary Immunodeficiency from Patient-Described Symptoms?

Reteig, L. C.; Woloshin, S.; Maglione, P. J.; Farmer, J. R.; Ong, M.-S.

2026-05-27 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353818 medRxiv
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Patients with primary immunodeficiency (PID) often face prolonged diagnostic delays and may increasingly turn to large language models (LLMs) to interpret their symptoms during this period. We evaluated whether an LLM could recognize PID from symptom descriptions derived from interviews with 21 PID patients. In a prior study, we showed that GPT-4o identified PID in 96% of cases when prompted with physician-written patient histories (Rider et al., JACI, 2024). Here, when prompted with symptom descriptions in patients' own words, GPT-5 identified PID in only 7 cases (33%), although it more broadly suggested immune system issues in 18 cases (81%). The gap between these findings indicates that LLMs are sensitive to the language and framing of symptom descriptions, performing substantially worse when patients describe their own symptoms in everyday language than when clinicians summarize patient histories in structured medical terms. This study underscores the need to carefully evaluate how LLMs are used in patient-facing applications.

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ERBB4 deficiency promotes atrial myopathy underlying the atrial fibrillation substrate

Yamaguchi, N.; Santucci, J.; Hong, S. J.; Ferrena, A.; Schlamp, F.; Willett, D.; Casdin, C. J.; Park, P. S.; Lin, X.; Xiao, J.; Hall, S.; Barnard, J.; Achter, J.; Kanhert, K.; Lundby, A.; Chung, M. K.; Van Wagoner, D. R.; Park, D. S.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354173 medRxiv
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Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a leading cause of stroke, cardiovascular morbidity, and mortality. Atrial myopathy, characterized by progressive metabolic, electrical, and structural changes, creates the arrhythmogenic substrate that drives AF. Defining the key drivers of atrial myopathic processes is essential for targeted therapies that can mitigate AF progression. Here we explore how reduced ERBB4 expression contributes to the development of left atrial myopathy. Methods We analyzed the Cleveland Clinic Biobank to compare left atrial ERBB4 levels in patients grouped by AF diagnosis. To investigate the impact of reduced ERBB4 levels on atrial tissue substrate, we created mouse models of cardiac-specific Erbb4 deficiency using Mlc2a (myosin light chain 2a)-Cre. Comprehensive physiological assessments were performed. Transcriptomic analyses of the left atrium were performed in an Erbb4 haploinsufficient mouse model and compared with human atrial datasets. Molecular validation of key dysregulated pathways was performed. Results We found that left atrial ERBB4 levels are reduced in patients with AF. Adult cardiomyocyte-specific Erbb4 heterozygous (Erbb4fl/+;Mlc2a-Cre) mice exhibited prolonged P-wave duration in the absence of ventricular dysfunction. Left atrial transcriptomic analysis in Erbb4 haploinsufficient mice showed upregulation of pathways related to fibrosis, apoptosis, and coagulation, and downregulation of pathways related to fatty acid metabolism and mitochondrial function, mirroring changes observed in pressure overload mouse models. A cross-species transcriptomic comparison revealed significant overlap between ERBB4-correlated gene expression and functional pathways in adult human atria and mice with Erbb4 haploinsufficiency. Validating the transcriptomic data, protein and functional assays demonstrated increased fibrosis, apoptosis, and oxidative stress in the mutant left atrial tissue. Conclusion Left atrial ERBB4 levels are reduced in AF patients. A mouse model of Erbb4 deficiency and human atrial transcriptomic analyses highlight a role for ERBB4 in supporting normal atrial metabolism while protecting against inflammation, apoptosis, and fibrosis.